The Brexit Blog

The Brexit Blog
News and comment on the Brexit process, as Britain tries to leave the EU.

Tuesday 22 December 2020

Barnier To Make Brexit Announcement Today

Barnier is to make a Brexit announcement at 15:00 GMT today.

Perversely people are viewing this positively, even though it comes after reports the EU has rejected Boris Johnson's new compromise on fishing arrangements.

Monday 21 December 2020

The Talks Continue and The Blockade is Being Lifted


Despite all the posturing and shouting from both the EU and UK, and the added bonus of a French blockade (which is being lifted later today, the Brexit talks are continuing.

Expect the talks to go on until 31 December, when either a deal will be announced or the EU and UK say that they couldn't reach a deal (thus avoiding the headline that someone walked away).

Friday 18 December 2020

Find The Fish


Beware being distracted by the very public and vocal shouting from both sides about fish!

Thursday 17 December 2020

Tunnel Time!



Monday 14 December 2020

31 December - The Real Deadline

Unsurprisingly Boris and Ursula agreed on Sunday not to pull the plug on the talks.

The talks continute. However, for once, there has been no mention of a deadline (which of course would not be kept).

That being said, there is one deadline set in stone, and that is the 31st of December. That being said, if there was an embryonic deal in the making, that deadline could be stretched to ensure that tariffs etc were not automatically activated on 1 January 2021!

Friday 11 December 2020

New Beginnings For Old Friends - With a Hint of Compromise


Thursday 10 December 2020

Sunday is The New "Deadline"

Last night's dinner went on for three hours. No breakthrough nor a breakdown.

The negotiators will continue talking until Sunday. However, unless they have been given new wiggle room/instructions, these will go nowhere!

Wednesday 9 December 2020

7.30 for 8 CET - Smart Casual


Tuesday 8 December 2020

Northern Ireland Protocols Sorted


Boris To Go To Brussels - The Stumps To Be Pulled?


Boris will go to Brussels this week for a final attempt to reach a deal with the EU. 

It is assumed that he will either go on Wednesday or Friday. However, no firm date has yet been fixed.

A deal is not looking that likely.

Monday 7 December 2020

Hanging on The Telephone


Friday 4 December 2020

Barnier Starts His Important Day at 10.30AM


Thursday 3 December 2020

The Final Days of Negotiations


Wednesday 2 December 2020

Brexit Talks Hit Snafu


Monday 30 November 2020

Schrödinger's Brexit Deal


The Brexit negotiations continue apace, with the usual sticking points (fish, level playing field) remaining.

There may, or may not, be a deal within the coming week.

Who knows?

Friday 27 November 2020

Barnier Returns With a Fishy Offer

Contrary to speculation by some of the media, Barnier is returning to London this weekend (post quarantine) for further negotiations.

This time he brings fish.

Thursday 19 November 2020

Are We In The Tunnel?


Monday 16 November 2020

Brexit Update From Lord Frost


Thursday 12 November 2020

Another Day, Another "Deadline"


In case anyone is interested, or believes it, the new "deadline" for conclusion of the Brexit negotiations is 19th November.

Don't hold you breath folks!

Tuesday 10 November 2020

Lords Defeat Boris's Brexit Bill

The House of Lords has voted against Boris's Brexit Bill.

Peers voted by 433 votes to 165 to block the bill.

Thusfar Boris is planning to continue with the bill, even if it upsets Biden. However, if the EU and UK agree a Brexit deal this becomes irrelevant.

Tuesday 3 November 2020

EU Shenanigans


Wednesday 21 October 2020

We Are at The "Rien ne Vas Plus" Stage of Brexit


Tuesday 20 October 2020

Frost and Barnier To Touch Base This Afternoon


Monday 19 October 2020

Movement From The EU


Frost and Barnier To Talk This Afternoon

As to whether this afternoon's phone call will lead to anything remains to be seen!

It's very much a matter of face and compromise now for both the EU and UK.

Friday 16 October 2020

Boris Has Spoken - The Door Remains Ajar..Sort Of!



Boris To Address The Nation Today

Will he walk or not?

Thursday 15 October 2020

Schroedinger's Deal

We are now entering the Schroedinger's Deal stage of the Brexit negotiations!

Wednesday 14 October 2020

Frost Pushes Jaw Jaw


Friday 2 October 2020

Boris and Ursula To Have a Wee Chinwag Tomorrow


Thursday 1 October 2020

EU To Sue UK? - The EU's Theatrical Gesture


All very entertaining an theatrical, but do not lose sight of the fact that the EU have not withdrawn from the ongoing talks about a possible deal.

In the event a deal is agreed, then the IMB becomes irrelevant and the court case will be withdrawn.

In the even no deal can be agreed, then the court case (as it will be held in an EU court) will be irrelevant as the UK will be outside of EU jurisdiction.

Either way this is a theatrical gesture of zero relevance.

Monday 28 September 2020

Tunnel Vision?


This week Frost and Barnier will meet to decide if we enter the Tunnel to move forward to a deal.

Despite "hopeful" stories planted in the media last week, it looks increasingly clear that we will not enter the Tunnel, and that a No deal Brexit is looming large.

Friday 25 September 2020

Deal Hoves Into Sight?


We shall see!

Thursday 24 September 2020

Monday 14 September 2020

Frost Excoriates Barnier


Friday 11 September 2020

Gina Miller Enables Internal Market Bill

Thursday 10 September 2020

Time To Walk


Monday 7 September 2020

Boris Prepares For No Deal Brexit - Deadline 15 October 2020

Boris has set 15 October as the absolute final deadline for an agreement or confirmation of a no deal Brexit. As such, in order to be prepared and to show resolution, legislation wrt the internal market is being prepared. 

We shall see...

Tuesday 1 September 2020

Talks Stuck


The only way to unstick these talks is for the UK to walk away, not just threaten to walk away but actually WALK AWAY!

Wednesday 26 August 2020

Deadlines Slipping in The EU


Friday 21 August 2020

Frost Speaks

 David Frost, UK Chief Negotiator, said:

“We have just concluded the seventh round of negotiations with the EU.  As I said last week, agreement is still possible, and it is still our goal, but it is clear that it will not be easy to achieve. Substantive work continues to be necessary across a range of different areas of potential UK-EU future cooperation if we are to deliver it.

“We have had useful discussions this week but there has been little progress.
“The EU is still insisting not only that we must accept continuity with EU state aid and fisheries policy, but also that this must be agreed before any further substantive work can be done in any other area of the negotiation, including on legal texts.  This makes it unnecessarily difficult to make progress. There are other significant areas which remain to be resolved and, even where there is a broad understanding between negotiators, there is a lot of detail to work through. Time is short for both sides.

“We have been clear from the outset about the principles underlying the UK approach. We are seeking a relationship which ensures we regain sovereign control of our own laws, borders, and waters, and centred upon a trading relationship based on an FTA like those the EU has concluded with a range of other international partners, together with practical arrangements for cooperation in areas such as aviation, scientific programmes, and law enforcement. When the EU accepts this reality in all areas of the negotiation, it will be much easier to make progress.

“We will continue to work hard to reach an agreement.  Chief Negotiators and their teams have agreed to remain in close contact over the next two weeks before the next Round in London in the week of 7 September.”

No Deal - WTO Brexit


Whether Barnier likes it or not, if the deal is not agreed (subject to ratification) by the end of this month the UK will walk away from the talks and move onto a WTO Brexit footing (with all of what that implies as to how we interact with the EU in the remaining months of this year). 


Thursday 23 July 2020

Frost Speaks

Mind The Gap!

Wednesday 22 July 2020

WTO Terms Likely

It now looks pretty certain that Britain and the EU will not reach an agreement wrt post Brexit trade arrangements etc.

As such, the UK will be operating on WTO terms post 31 December 2020.

By mid August the government will confirm this, and ratchet up the preparation and advice to businesses for WTO trading. Additionally, we can expect a more muscular approach to illegal Channel crossings.

Friday 10 July 2020

Deal By Summer or Else!

Wednesday 8 July 2020

Talks Continue in London

Tuesday 30 June 2020

Tick Tock

Those expecting to see an extension to the transition period are, in a few hours time, going to be bitterly disappointed; as the deadline for asking for one is midnight.

As from tomorrow, the UK either leaves the transition period on 31 December with a deal or on WTO terms.

Monday 29 June 2020

Frost's Ticking Clock

With the demise of Sedwill, David Frost now holds the roles of both Britain’s chief negotiator with the EU and national security adviser.

However, Frost will not take on the NSA role until late August. This sends a signal to the EU that negotiations will end by then, with or without a deal.

Friday 26 June 2020

Up, Up and Away - Building The Brand

The aircraft will be used by Boris and the Queen on official business.

Unsurprisingly, certain sections of the easily triggered have been carping about the cost £900K etc.

Here are a few factoids:

1 The aircraft was due for a routine major maintenance period that involves a full strip-down, avionics upgrade, and stripping the paint off so the airframe can be checked for metal fatigue & corrosion. Repainting in red white and blue, rather than grey, is the cheap part of the job.

2 The Queen and future Prime Ministers (no matter what party they represent) will use it, it is not Boris's private toy.

3 As Britain leaves the EU, it is important to build the brand. This is an effective and visually striking means of doing so.

Thursday 18 June 2020

Monday 15 June 2020

Conference Call

Friday 12 June 2020

Border Controls To Be Introduced In Stages

Gove Formally Rejects Possibility of Extension

I am not entirely sure this is 100% watertight as, theoretically, Parliament could ask for an extension up to and including 30 June 2020.

I am not sure though.

Anyone care to confirm/correct me on this?

Wednesday 10 June 2020

Pope Says Boris Holds Trump Hand

Stephen Pope an analyst for Forbes said:
"Given the EU is really good at spending money it will be desperate to receive the UK’s final settlement payment of £39billion.

For that reason, I think the UK and Boris Johnson hold the trump card in the forthcoming trade negotiations."

Tuesday 9 June 2020

The EU's Two Fingered Approach To Terms

Friday 5 June 2020

Are We Entering The Tunnel?

Wednesday 3 June 2020

The Final Round

The Spectator reports that fourth round of official Brexit negotiations resumed on Tuesday, screen-to-screen.

They will determine whether the stalemate can be broken and a trade deal sealed by the end of the transition date of 31 December. By mid-June, a high-level 'stock-take' between Boris Johnson and Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will assess whether sufficient progress has been made to continue negotiations.

Whatever the outcome (deal or no deal) the UK will NOT seek an extension and will leave the transition arrangement on 31 December 2020.

Friday 29 May 2020

Frost Rejects Brexit Extension

David Frost said:
"The Government's position is pretty clear.

"We are not going to ask for an extension and if the EU asks for one we will not agree to one.

"I think that is part of the framework now and we are working to an end of year deadline."

As Frost knows, any extension would mean that the UK will be forced to pay more to the EU and will be trapped in the seven year budget cycle.

Thursday 28 May 2020

Timing Is Everything!

On the 15th of May leaders of the smaller opposition parties in Westminster (not Labour) wrote to Barnier asking for a Brexit extension.

I am sure that they wouldn't have known that there was going to be an anti Cumings media onslaught over the coming weekend, that might have got him sacked. However, yesterday Barnier responded to them by saying an extension could be granted if requested and agreed upon (along with an agreement on UK funding) by 1 July.

I am sure that Barnier has not been following the Cummings' story, and I am sure that he didn't write/send that letter in the expectation that Cummings would be gone by then.

That being said, Cummings hasn't gone and it's not up to the leaders of the minor parties to speak on behalf of the government, nor is it up the Barnier to make an offer to people who don't run the country.

Friday 22 May 2020

Merkel's Euro500BN Grand Gesture To Save The EU

Thursday 21 May 2020

Covid Has Stiffened Britain's Resolve

In the event that the EU and Britain cannot reach an agreement for a post transit trading relationship, Britain will rvert to WTO terms.

There would be border checks and tariffs.

As the Spectator points out, in normal times this would be regarded as the biggest economic shift in a generation. However, coronavirus has collapsed world trade and travel, dwarfing any changes Brexit might bring.

Britain has in effect already crossed that Rubicon, along with every other country in the world.

It's a new game with a new rules!

Wednesday 20 May 2020

Frost Eviscerates EU's Unbalanced and Undemocratic Proposals

I suspect that Barnier has very little room for manoeuvre, as the EU has little intention to shift its stance.

As such, once this becomes pretty much set by the end of June, it will be necessary to up the ante for a "no agreement" end of transition on 31 December 2020.

Friday 15 May 2020

Little Progress On Post Transition Agreement

Tuesday 12 May 2020

Soros Foresees The End of The EU

Friday 8 May 2020

EU Foreign Policy Nailed!

Wednesday 6 May 2020

EU Economy Fucked

Monday 4 May 2020

EU PPE Scheme Delivers Nada!

Friday 20 March 2020

Frost and Barnier Bitten By The Bug

Thursday 19 March 2020

UK Exchanges Draft Brexit Text and Barnier Tests Positive For #COVID19

Thursday 27 February 2020

June Is The Key

Thursday 20 February 2020

Brexit Party Winding Up

Wednesday 19 February 2020

The Price of Trade - The Elgin Marbles

For reasons best known the EU, one of the key issues in any possible future trade deal will be the Elgin Marbles!

The EU is truly batshit crazy and has lost its marbles!

Tuesday 18 February 2020


Tuesday 11 February 2020

Chaos In EU Land

It is ironic, that it appears that Britain was a unifying influence in the EU (when it was a member)!

Friday 7 February 2020

EU Shoots Itself In The Budgetary Foot

Monday 3 February 2020

The New Start

Friday 31 January 2020

Happy Brexit Day - #BrexitDay

Today at 11PM GMT and Midnight CET, Britain will formally leave the EU.

There will be some who celebrate and some who mourn this event.

Either way the following points should be borne in mind:

1 What is done is done, wallowing in self pity or triumphalism will achieve nothing.

2 We leave on good terms with our friends on the Continent and intend to remain friends.

3 This is a new chapter in the history of the UK, let us not squander it but use it as an opportunity to move forward in a direction that will benefit everyone in the UK.

Thursday 30 January 2020

The Failure of The EU - Verhofstadt Spectacularly Misses The Point!

Turning it into a prison is not the solution to the EU's failure!

Tuesday 28 January 2020

BBC London Appears To Be On Drugs

What has the BBC done to that poor bulldog? 

Doubtless the BBC is trying to make a smart arsed political point, forgetting that it is meant to at least try to appear impartial!

Tough Talk From a Man Who Will Be Voted Out of Office on 8 February

Monday 27 January 2020

Brexit Coins Come Into Circulation on 31 January

Some people are claiming that they won't use them.

I am more than happy to buy them off those of you who won't use them for 25p each.

Friday 24 January 2020

President of EU Commission Signs Brexit Bill

Thursday 23 January 2020

Brexit Bill Finally Clears Parliament

Wednesday 22 January 2020

EU Taking Its Time To Allow The UK Leave

Thursday 16 January 2020

Bugger The Bong - Beware The Fake Outrage!

Tuesday 14 January 2020

Bung a Bob For Big Ben Bong

Monday 13 January 2020

The Price of Uncertainty

Now things will move forward!

Friday 10 January 2020

Mark Francois's Bong

Monday 6 January 2020


Friday 3 January 2020

Deploy The Love Bomb